Gold Prices Strategic Rise Amidst Economic Anticipation

Gold gained on Monday as traders purchased bullion on price dips, while their focus shifted to key U.S. inflation data for signals on the Federal Reserve’s interest rate direction post its recent dovish tilt.

Spot gold was up 0.4% at $2,026.5374 per ounce. U.S. gold futures settled 0.2% higher at $2040.8.

“The market is in a pause mode waiting for the next major fundamental economic data point or news, but it’s a buy-the-dip mentality among gold traders with the bullish technical posture,” said Jim Wyckoff, senior analyst at Kitco Metals.

The underlying factors keeping a floor under the gold market are the weaker U.S. dollar, easier monetary policy and some safe-haven demand from heightened tensions in the Middle East, Wyckoff added.

Last week, the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged and indicated the historic tightening of monetary policy was likely over as inflation fell faster than expected.

But Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said the U.S. central bank is not pre-committing to cutting interest rates soon and swiftly.

Traders are pricing in a 69% chance of a Fed rate cut in March, according to the CME FedWatch tool.

Lower bond yields and interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-interest-bearing.

Benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields were hovering near their lowest level since July.

Traders now await a slew of U.S. economic data, including the November core personal consumption expenditure (PCE) index report on Friday.

Downward trends in U.S. rates are often accompanied by a stronger bullish move of gold and this asymmetric trend might continue and favor gold, especially in the first half of next year and prices could average $2,050 an ounce in 2024, Intesa Sanpaolo said in a note.

Spot silver fell 0.3% to $23.7645 per ounce, while platinum rose 0.4% to $943.75. Palladium was up 0.8% to $1,182.36, hitting a two-and-a-half-month high.

Originally published on: CNBC