Bond Market Booms While the Economy Burns: Don’t Fall for the Smoke and Mirrors

EDITOR'S NOTES

When the Treasury Department starts bragging about bond returns, it’s time to check your pockets — and your freedoms. Scott Bessent, Trump’s newly minted top bond salesman, is out there trying to sell you a fairy tale: that Treasury bond gains in 2025 mean the economy is roaring back. But here’s the dirty secret the bureaucrats and Wall Street cheerleaders won’t tell you — bonds rally when the ship’s sinking. Not when it’s sailing. In this piece, I’ll unpack the manipulation behind Bessent’s messaging, why bond returns are the last thing you should trust as a sign of economic health, and how this all fits into the bigger surveillance-finance complex they’re building around us. Buckle up.

Derek Wolfe Dec 11, 25

📊 Treasury’s Latest Spin Job: Bond Returns = Prosperity?

Scott Bessent took to the stage with Trump in Pennsylvania and declared 2025 a banner year for Treasury bond investors — “the best since 2020.” He’s even been plastering it all over social media and Sunday talk shows. The 5.4% return on long-term Treasuries is the shining jewel in his pitch.

To the untrained eye, this sounds like great news. But seasoned watchers of the rigged game know better: when bonds soar, it usually means the economy is tanking — not thriving.

📉 The Inverse Reality of Bond Markets

Here’s the truth the Treasury won’t advertise: bonds and economic strength often move in opposite directions.

Let’s look at history:

2008 – Treasuries returned 20.1%... because the global financial system was imploding.
1982 – Treasuries returned 32.8%... during one of the deepest recessions in U.S. history.
1999 and 1987 – Bonds lost value while the economy was booming.

Why? Because bond prices go up when people flee risk — when they expect inflation to drop, growth to slow, or markets to crash. It’s a panic signal. Not a victory lap.

💸 What’s Actually Driving These Returns?

The 2025 bond rally reflects:

Falling yields on the 10-year Treasury (from 4.57% to 4.17%)
Investors piling into U.S. debt for safety
A flight from risk amid rising global instability and recession fears

That’s not an economic triumph. That’s a warning sign. Like watching rats jump ship before it sinks.

🐍 Political Theater Masquerading as Financial Insight

Bessent’s pitch is pure messaging warfare. He’s not just hyping bonds — he’s using them to frame the Trump administration’s economic management as a success story, papering over the cracks in the real economy.

It’s classic bait-and-switch: distract the public with stock tickers and charts while the underlying system decays. The economy is teetering, the debt bomb is ticking, and the Fed is trapped between inflation and recession — but hey, your bonds are up!

Don’t fall for it.

🧠 Always Ask: Who Benefits?

Let’s be clear: this narrative benefits the government, the bankers, and the central planners. It keeps you docile while:

Inflation erodes your purchasing power
FedNow and CBDCs tighten control over your spending
Debt monetization keeps Wall Street fat and you broke

Treasuries returning 5.4% isn’t a win for Main Street — it’s a canary in the coal mine for what’s coming next.

⚠️ The Bottom Line: Don’t Let Them Use Bonds as Cover

When bureaucrats like Bessent trot out bond performance as proof of prosperity, it’s a smokescreen. The bond market is not the economy — and historically, it thrives most when the real economy is on life support.

We’ve seen this movie before. They gaslight the masses with cherry-picked data while quietly preparing the next phase of centralized control — digital dollars, forced compliance, and total surveillance.

🛡️ Take Action Before They Tighten the Noose

You can’t afford to sit idle while they play financial shell games and prep the next crisis. Get the real tools you need to protect yourself and your wealth from systemic collapse.

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Stay sharp. Stay free. And never trust the suits.

— Derek Wolfe