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Foreign Investors Pass On U.S. Debt: A Sign of De-dollarization

EDITOR'S NOTES

Why would foreign investors keep buying U.S. debt when they’re trying to move away from the dollar? The latest 30-year Treasury auction tells a grim tale of dwindling faith in U.S. financial instruments, marking the ugliest auction since November with the lowest foreign demand seen in 2024. Amidst a backdrop of manipulated economic reports aimed at propping up market sentiment, this auction’s failure to attract significant foreign investment is a glaring red flag. With yields climbing and foreign interest waning, it’s a stark reminder of the growing skepticism towards U.S. debt as nations increasingly seek to de-dollarize their economies. 

After two consecutive ugly auctions (and in the case of yesterday’s 10Y reopening, very ugly), moments ago the Treasury completed the week’s coupon issuance when, on the day when the BLS published a doctored PPI report to boost market sentiment, it sold $22 billion in 30Y paper in what was yet another ugly auction.

The high yield on today’s sale stopped at 4.671%, higher than last month’s 4.331% by 34 bps and also tailing the When Issued 4.661% by 1 basis point, the first tail for the 30Y tenor since last November.

The bid to cover dropped from 2.472 in March to 2.367, the lowest since November, and obviously below the 6-auction average of 2.37.

The internals were ago ugly as Indirects slid to 64.4% from 69.3%, which was the lowest since November. And with Directs awarded 18.3%, up from 16.8% last month, Dealers were left holding 17.3%, the most since November.

And even though the auction was ugly top to bottom, what is surprising is that so shell-shocked was the market by the recent inflation data and yesterday’s catastrophic 10Y auction, that yields actually dipped despite the auction effectively disappointing on every vertical, with 10Y yields dropping a bp to 4.56% from 4.57%.

This article originally appeared on Zero Hedge

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