Walk into any macroeconomics classroom or tune in to an economics influencer online, and you’ll hear the same script: “Today we’re going to learn how to measure inflation.” The star of this show is the Consumer Price Index (CPI), followed by a supporting cast of other indexes.
This language is so common nobody bothers to question whether “measuring” is even the right word. But if you look past the polite consensus, you’ll see that this is more semantic smoke and mirrors than genuine precision.
Real measurement involves fixed, recognized units. You measure length in meters, weight in kilograms, current in amps. These standards don’t move around to suit political needs.
Ask yourself: what exactly are the units of inflation? Dollars per year? That’s gibberish. A dollar isn’t a constant quantity—it’s a moving target diluted at will by the Federal Reserve.
Economists will try to dodge this by saying they measure the rate of change in the “price level.” But what’s the unit of a price level? You can’t point to a single, agreed-upon unit. Instead, you get an index number—a statistical Frankenstein built from a “basket of goods” chosen by bureaucrats.
Austrian economist Ludwig von Mises had no patience for this charade. As he put it in Human Action:
“The pretentious solemnity which statisticians display in computing indexes of purchasing power and cost of living is out of place.”
He wasn’t kidding. Unlike temperature readings, nobody believes these indexes are the final word. You can’t argue with a barometer. But you can always argue with the CPI—because it isn’t a measurement. It’s a political football dressed up as a fact.
Remember, when government agencies compile the CPI or PPI, they aren’t pulling out a ruler and measuring reality. They’re running data through opaque formulas—tweaking the basket of goods, swapping out inputs, and re-weighting categories to fit the narrative of the moment.
In practice, these indexes do a better job masking real price erosion than exposing it. They’re bureaucratic tools to placate the public, rationalize policy, and justify the steady debasement of your purchasing power.
Why does the language of “measurement” persist? Because it serves the system. If they admit they’re merely estimating or quantifying inflation, the spell breaks. The process loses its mystical authority.
It’s the same reason every new scheme to rig the metrics—“hedonic adjustments,” “core inflation,” “chained CPI”—comes packaged in jargon. The more it sounds scientific, the less likely you are to question it.
Call it what it is: quantification. When you quantify something, you admit it’s an approximation—a numerical summary of complex, messy reality. No pretensions of objectivity. No illusions of universal accuracy.
It’s a small linguistic shift with big implications. Quantification is humble. Measurement is arrogant. And arrogance is exactly what you get when central planners pretend their models can capture the real costs of their monetary games.
Inflation isn’t “measured.” It’s manipulated. The indexes you see on cable news are tools of perception management, not reliable gauges of economic truth. If you let the state define inflation, you can bet they’ll pick the definition that flatters their record and conceals their failures.
Stop taking their numbers at face value. Start trusting your own eyes and your own wallet.
If you want to protect yourself from the next round of monetary sleight-of-hand, it starts with knowledge. Download Seven Steps to Protect Yourself from Bank Failure by Bill Brocius. Because when the numbers no longer add up, you’ll wish you’d prepared.
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