EDITOR'S NOTE: As the American Dream continues to be a key aspiration for countless families across the nation, the harsh reality of an increasingly unaffordable housing market has left many struggling to keep up. This article examines the current state of the US housing market, highlighting the factors contributing to the alarming surge in home prices, record-low inventory, and skyrocketing mortgage rates. Most shockingly, housing affordability issues led to banks losing money on mortgages last year, with an average loss of $301 per loan, according to a report by the Mortgage Bankers Association. This marks the first recorded negative profit since 2008, mainly due to higher financing costs and reduced housing demand. Join us as we uncover the complexities of the US housing market's affordability crisis and assess the road ahead for those still yearning to own a piece of the American Dream.
The housing environment is so unaffordable that certain banks lost money for each mortgage they financed last year — the first time that's ever happened, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association.
In 2022, independent mortgage banks and mortgage subsidiaries of chartered banks banks lost an average $301 for every mortgage they financed, the MBA said in a recent report. That represents a 113% decrease from last year's average income of $2,339 per mortgage, and is the first time that banks posted negative profits for financing home loans since the MBA began recording profits in 2008.
That's largely due to the decrease in housing activity, MBA's vice president of industry analysis Marina Walsh said in a statement. Prospective buyers are holding back from the market as mortgage rates hover near a 20-year high and limited housing supply keeps home prices elevated.
Banks and other mortgage companies each financed an average $2.6 billion in loans in 2022, roughly half of the $5 billion figure for 2021.
Meanwhile, the cost of financing a loan has gone up, as the decline in workers isn't fast enough to make up for the decline in business. Banks and mortgage companies spent an average $10,624 to finance each home loan in 2022, representing a 23% cost increase from 2021.
"The rapid rise in mortgage rates over a relatively short period of time, combined with extremely low housing inventory and affordability challenges, meant that both purchase and refinance volume plummeted," Walsh said. "The stellar profits of the previous two years dissipated because of the confluence of declining volume, lower revenues, and higher costs per loan."
Some experts warned last year that the US housing market could see a huge correction as the shrinking demand leads to a drop in home prices. Home prices could fall by 9% this year, one MBA board member previously said. Other experts have predicted a more mild correction, with one National Association of Realtors economist predicting that prices had already bottomed out, and the housing market could see a rebound.
Originally published by: Jennifer Sor on Markets Insider
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